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Outputs (25)

Improving And Enhancing Scenario Planning: Futures Thinking (2025)
Book
Crawford, M. M., & Wright, G. (Eds.). (2025). Improving And Enhancing Scenario Planning: Futures Thinking. Edward Elgar Publishing

This book presents a contemporary view of the approaches and theories informing global scenario planning and foresight science. The collection of chapters details new and broader views of futures thinking, scenario methodologies, innovative developme... Read More about Improving And Enhancing Scenario Planning: Futures Thinking.

Unregulated Futures: Scenario Planning for the Unknown (2024)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M., Roubelat, F., & Marchais-Roubelat, A. (2024, September). Unregulated Futures: Scenario Planning for the Unknown. Presented at Anticipation 2024, Lancaster, UK

Building from years of piloting novel methods for future visioning through group engagement, this curated session will take attendees through a fast-tracked, yet fully- immersive scenario planning workshop. The prompt is, “What does 2034 look like if... Read More about Unregulated Futures: Scenario Planning for the Unknown.

Biased Foresight: A Facilitator’s Playbook (2024)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M. (2024, June). Biased Foresight: A Facilitator’s Playbook. Paper presented at 33rd European Conference on Operational Research, Copenhagen, Denmark

A series of lab and field studies were conducted with managers, executives, and postgraduates to test the hypothesis that priming effects exist within any given scenario planning workshop (Crawford, 2021). The studies show that priming scenario pract... Read More about Biased Foresight: A Facilitator’s Playbook.

Virtuous opinion change in structured groups (2023)
Journal Article
Bolger, F., Rowe, G., Hamlin, I., Belton, I., Crawford, M., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., Vasilichi, A., & Wright, G. (2023). Virtuous opinion change in structured groups. Judgment and Decision Making, 18, Article e25. https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2023.22

Although the individual has been the focus of most research into judgment and decision-making (JDM), important decisions in the real world are often made collectively rather than individually, a tendency that has increased in recent times with the op... Read More about Virtuous opinion change in structured groups.

A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios (2023)
Journal Article
Crawford, M. M., & Plant‐O'Toole, E. (2023). A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios. Futures & Foresight Science, 5(3-4), Article e167. https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.167

This is a book review of Strategic Planning for Dynamic Supply Chains: Preparing for Uncertainty Using Scenarios by Shardul S. Phadnis, Yossi Sheffi, and Chris Caplice (Cham, Switzerland, 226 p, 2022). The book covers three case studies, presented as... Read More about A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios.

There's No Such Thing As An Unbiased Future (2023)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M. (2023, July). There's No Such Thing As An Unbiased Future. Presented at Women In Data Science (WiDS) London 2023 Conference, Online

A keynote presentation and discussion on why our future(s) will never and can never be free of biases.

Scenario Planning and Futures Thinking Global Project (2023)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M. (2023, July). Scenario Planning and Futures Thinking Global Project. Presented at Scenario Planning and Foresight 2023, University of Warwick

I led a special session that presented our global project to conference attendees. The project includes an edited, peer reviewed book, podcast, and network for future workshops and public engagement opportunities. The special session included discuss... Read More about Scenario Planning and Futures Thinking Global Project.

There Is No Such Thing As Unbiased Scenario Planning (2023)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M. (2023, July). There Is No Such Thing As Unbiased Scenario Planning. Paper presented at Scenario Planning and Foresight 2023, University of Warwick

A series of lab and field studies were conducted with managers, executives, and postgraduate students to test the hypothesis that an emotional priming effect exists within any given scenario planning workshop (Crawford, 2021). The studies show that p... Read More about There Is No Such Thing As Unbiased Scenario Planning.

The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content (2022)
Journal Article
Crawford, M., & Wright, G. (2022). The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 183, Article 121937. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121937

Hundreds of scenarios were developed across the world in the first six months of 2020, aimed at generating forward-looking conversations, better understanding COVID-19 transmission rates, trialling economic outcomes, and stress-testing existing syste... Read More about The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content.