Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Belton, Ian; Wright, George; Sissons, Aileen; Bolger, Fergus; Crawford, Megan M; Hamlin, Iain; Taylor Browne L?ka, Courtney; Vasilichi, Alexandrina

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120897

All Outputs (5)

Futures & Analytics Research Hub (2021)
Digital Artefact
Crawford, M., & Smith, M. (2021). Futures & Analytics Research Hub. [https://farhub.org/about/]

The Futures & Analytics Research Hub is a resource for teaching, skill building, and knowledge exchange, with a primary focus on advancing digital literacy. Digital poverty is a major concern across the UK and requires more proactive efforts to reduc... Read More about Futures & Analytics Research Hub.

Futures of Scotland: Post-COVID Recovery (2021)
Exhibition / Performance
Crawford, M. Futures of Scotland: Post-COVID Recovery. [Print]. 31 October 2021 - 30 April 2022

The project combines collaborative, scenario planning and data science with creative arts to develop an event that engages broad audiences across Scotland, highlighting the roles we all play in creating our shared futures. The first stage of the proj... Read More about Futures of Scotland: Post-COVID Recovery.

Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals (2021)
Journal Article
Hamlin, I., Bolger, F., Vasilichi, A., Belton, I., Crawford, M. M., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., & Wright, G. (2021). Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 35(6), 1600-1607. https://doi.org/10.1002/acp.3892

Groups often make better judgments than individuals, and recent research suggests that this phenomenon extends to the deception detection domain. The present research investigated whether the influence of groups enhances the accuracy of judgments, an... Read More about Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals.

A comprehensive scenario intervention typology (2021)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Crawford, M. (2021, September). A comprehensive scenario intervention typology. Presented at YouTube series: Futures and Foresight Papers Explained, Online

Megan Crawford, presents her 2020 paper, "A comprehensive scenario intervention typology" published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Megan talks about how the paper was sparked by a need for clearer directions in scenario planning impl... Read More about A comprehensive scenario intervention typology.

Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged? (2021)
Journal Article
Belton, I., Wright, G., Sissons, A., Bolger, F., Crawford, M. M., Hamlin, I., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., & Vasilichi, A. (2021). Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 170, Article 120897. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120897

In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members’ information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms o... Read More about Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?.