A comprehensive scenario intervention typology

Crawford, Megan M.

Abstract

Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all sectors of public and private industry. Many feel that scenario planning is forever consigned to the realm of chaos, incapable of being clearly defined. We disagree and see the field as a collective of experiences and knowledge that play upon a theme, where emerging realities slowly reveal a structure to the system. In response, we propose a comprehensive typology for scenario planning interventions – the Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology – which incorporates all dimensions of existing typologies along with additional dimensions and functions that reflect previously unrecognized and emergent topics relevant to understanding the critical realities of an intervention. The Comprehensive Scenario Intervention typology expands the scope of scenario planning interventions and adds to the theoretical foundation of the field.

Citation

Crawford, M. M. (2019). A comprehensive scenario intervention typology. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 149, Article 119748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: Sep 11, 2019
• Online Publication Date: Oct 31, 2019
• Publication Date: 2019-12
• Deposit Date: May 19, 2021
• Publicly Available Date: May 20, 2021
• Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change
• Print ISSN: 0040-1625
• Publisher: Elsevier
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 149
• Article Number: 119748
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748
• Keywords: Scenario planning, Typology, Intervention, Profile
• Public URL: http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/Output/2773901
• Publisher URL: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/technological-forecasting-and-social-change