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Modeling competitive multi-modal transit services; a nested logit approach.

Wan, Quentin K.; Lo, Hong K.; Yip, Chun-Wing; Wan, Quentin

Authors

Quentin K. Wan

Hong K. Lo

Chun-Wing Yip

Quentin Wan



Abstract

In metropolitan areas where multi-modal trips are common, modeling the combined-mode choices of travelers, and the strategic interactions between the private service operators are important issues. This study developed a novel network approach, designated as state-augmented multi-modal (SAM) network, to explicitly consider transfer behaviors and non-linear fare structures. To overcome the independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) assumption associated with the standard logit approach, we integrated the SAM network with the nested logit (NL) approach. Specifically, we developed a three-level NL choice model to deal with the complex and inter-related decisions in a multi-modal network: the first level focuses on combined-mode choice, the second on transfer location choice, and the third on route choice. Using this NL SAM network as a platform, we examined the effect of fare competition on company profitability as well as on overall network congestion. A case study of the ground transportation system connecting the Hong Kong International Airport to the downtown area is provided to illustrate the approach.

Citation

Wan, Q. K., Lo, H. K., Yip, C.-W., & Wan, Q. (2004). Modeling competitive multi-modal transit services; a nested logit approach. Transportation Research Part C : Emerging Technologies, 12(3-4), 251-272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2004.07.011

Journal Article Type Article
Publication Date Jun 1, 2004
Deposit Date Apr 16, 2008
Print ISSN 0968-090X
Publisher Elsevier
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 12
Issue 3-4
Pages 251-272
DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2004.07.011
Keywords Travel choice; Public transport; Multi-modal networks; Nested-logit models; Transfer behaviour; Traffic congestion; Fare competition;
Public URL http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/id/eprint/1971
Publisher URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2004.07.011