Forecasting decisions in complex situations.

Canduela, Jesus

Abstract

It is well understood that different functions in organisations have different forecasting and planning requirements and treat and value forecasts differently. This presentation is a report of a study of forecasting in a large fast moving consumer goods (fmcg) company. A series of interviews have been conducted from key points in the flow of forecasts and information through the company, from initial generation to the interface with the customer. The findings do show a difference in the value of the forecast and the way they are used or abused. Also emerging is clear indication of the social-political influences on the planning process. From this qualitative work recommendations are made on to how to improve forecasting. Finally the prospects of a unified approach which can be generalised throughout fmcg companies and up and down supply chain is discussed.

Citation

Canduela, J. (2003, June). Forecasting decisions in complex situations. Presented at 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting

• Conference Name: 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting
• Start Date: Jun 15, 2003
• End Date: Jun 18, 2003
• Publication Date: 2003
• Deposit Date: Apr 27, 2011
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Keywords: forecasting usability, structured interview, fmcgs
• Public URL: http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/id/eprint/4364