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PCA-FNN based performance prediction for water injection in oilfields.

Tian, Yajuan; Cheng, Guojian; Wang, Zhe

Authors

Yajuan Tian

Guojian Cheng

Zhe Wang



Abstract

In order to solve the problem of uncertain cycle of water injection in the oilfield, this paper proposed a numerical method based on PCA-FNN, so that it can forecast the effective cycle of water injection. PCA is used to reduce the dimension of original data, while FNN is applied to train and test the new data. The correctness of PCA-FNN model is verified by the real injection statistics data from 116 wells of an oilfield, the result shows that the average absolute error and relative error of the test are 1.97 months and 10.75% respectively. The testing accuracy has been greatly improved by PCA-FNN model compare with the FNN which has not been processed by PCA and multiple liner regression method. Therefore, PCA-FNN method is reliable to forecast the effectiveness cycle of water injection and it can be used as an decision-making reference method for the engineers.

Citation

Tian, Y., Cheng, G., & Wang, Z. (2014). PCA-FNN based performance prediction for water injection in oilfields. Advanced materials research, 909, 410-417. https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.909.410

Journal Article Type Article
Acceptance Date Sep 9, 1999
Publication Date 2014-03
Deposit Date Jun 1, 2016
Print ISSN 1022-6680
Publisher Trans Tech Publications
Peer Reviewed Peer Reviewed
Volume 909
Pages 410-417
DOI https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.909.410
Keywords Cycle prediction; effect of water injection; FNN; PCA;
Public URL http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/id/eprint/10333
Publisher URL http://dx.doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.909.410