FT coverage and UK target price run-ups

Siganos, Antonios; Papa, Marco

Abstract

We focus on the market expectation hypothesis to explain the increase in share prices and trading volume of target firms before their merger announcements that have conventionally been attributed to either insider trading or market expectation. We use Financial Times (FT) coverage as a proxy of merger expectation and search for relevant articles for 783 UK target firms between 1998 and 2010. We identify a total of 1049 rumour articles and find that the FT market expectation proxy explains a small percentage of the target price run-ups. Results are strong during the sample period, even though the magnitude for both returns and trading volume tends to decrease within recent years. There is also a strong contemporaneous relation between abnormal returns and trading volume. Unexplained increases in target prices and trading volume may be attributed to insider trading.

Citation

Siganos, A., & Papa, M. (2015). FT coverage and UK target price run-ups. European Journal of Finance, 21(12), 1070-1089. https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847x.2014.924077

• Journal Article Type: Article
• Acceptance Date: May 6, 2014
• Online Publication Date: Jun 9, 2014
• Publication Date: Sep 26, 2015
• Deposit Date: Jul 6, 2021
• Journal: The European Journal of Finance
• Print ISSN: 1351-847X
• Electronic ISSN: 1466-4364
• Publisher: Routledge
• Peer Reviewed: Peer Reviewed
• Volume: 21
• Issue: 12
• Pages: 1070-1089
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1351847x.2014.924077
• Keywords: mergers and acquisitions, target firms, target price run-ups, media coverage
• Public URL: http://researchrepository.napier.ac.uk/Output/2785045