All Outputs (7)

Virtuous opinion change in structured groups (2023)
Journal Article
Bolger, F., Rowe, G., Hamlin, I., Belton, I., Crawford, M., Sissons, A., …Wright, G. (2023). Virtuous opinion change in structured groups. Judgment and Decision Making, 18, Article e25. https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2023.22

Although the individual has been the focus of most research into judgment and decision-making (JDM), important decisions in the real world are often made collectively rather than individually, a tendency that has increased in recent times with the op... Read More about Virtuous opinion change in structured groups.

A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios (2023)
Journal Article
Crawford, M. M., & Plant‐O'Toole, E. (2023). A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios. Futures & Foresight Science, 5(3-4), Article e167. https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.167

This is a book review of Strategic Planning for Dynamic Supply Chains: Preparing for Uncertainty Using Scenarios by Shardul S. Phadnis, Yossi Sheffi, and Chris Caplice (Cham, Switzerland, 226 p, 2022). The book covers three case studies, presented as... Read More about A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios.

The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content (2022)
Journal Article
Crawford, M., & Wright, G. (2022). The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 183, Article 121937. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121937

Hundreds of scenarios were developed across the world in the first six months of 2020, aimed at generating forward-looking conversations, better understanding COVID-19 transmission rates, trialling economic outcomes, and stress-testing existing syste... Read More about The value of mass-produced COVID-19 scenarios: A quality evaluation of development processes and scenario content.

Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals (2021)
Journal Article
Hamlin, I., Bolger, F., Vasilichi, A., Belton, I., Crawford, M. M., Sissons, A., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., & Wright, G. (2021). Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 35(6), 1600-1607. https://doi.org/10.1002/acp.3892

Groups often make better judgments than individuals, and recent research suggests that this phenomenon extends to the deception detection domain. The present research investigated whether the influence of groups enhances the accuracy of judgments, an... Read More about Structured Groups Make More Accurate Veracity Judgments Than Individuals.

Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged? (2021)
Journal Article
Belton, I., Wright, G., Sissons, A., Bolger, F., Crawford, M. M., Hamlin, I., Taylor Browne Lūka, C., & Vasilichi, A. (2021). Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 170, Article 120897. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120897

In this paper, we investigate the effect of Delphi group size and opinion diversity on group members’ information load as well as on their overall experience of the Delphi process - in terms of task involvement (enjoyment and interest) and in terms o... Read More about Delphi with feedback of rationales: How large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?.

A comprehensive scenario intervention typology (2019)
Journal Article
Crawford, M. M. (2019). A comprehensive scenario intervention typology. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 149, Article 119748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119748

Scenario planning, as a recognised organisational intervention, has steadily grown in popularity since the mid-20th century. To date, there are arguably as many methods and techniques as there are practitioners, with applications across nearly all se... Read More about A comprehensive scenario intervention typology.

Using orthographic neighborhood size manipulations to investigate memory deficits in aging memory (2016)
Journal Article
Glanc, G. A., Logan, J. M., Grime, M., Anuwe, A., & Thompson, J. (2016). Using orthographic neighborhood size manipulations to investigate memory deficits in aging memory. Cogent Psychology, 3(1), Article 1220445. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311908.2016.1220445

In three previous studies, manipulations of orthographic neighborhood size and orienting task were used to differentiate between item-specific and rela-tional processing in young adults (aged 18–35) in standard recognition tasks. The current study at... Read More about Using orthographic neighborhood size manipulations to investigate memory deficits in aging memory.